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ImportantThunder vs. Suns odds, prediction, time: 2026 NBA playoff picks, April 27 best bets by proven model

Thunder Aim for Sweep Against Suns in Crucial Game 4 Showdown

CBS Sports•
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AI Summary

The top-seeded Oklahoma City Thunder look to complete a four-game sweep against the eighth-seeded Phoenix Suns in Game 4 of their Western Conference first-round playoff matchup on Monday night. After a commanding 121-109 victory on Thursday, the Thunder hold a 3-0 series lead. Currently, Oklahoma City boasts a record of 64-18 and is 31-10 on the road this season, while Phoenix, with a 45-37 record, finished second in the Pacific Division and is 26-17 at home.

Key player news includes Jalen Williams (hamstring), who is out for Oklahoma City. The game will tip off at 9:30 p.m. ET from the Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix. Historically, the Thunder lead the all-time postseason series 15-13 and have won the last five playoff meetings.

In the latest odds from FanDuel Sportsbook, the Thunder are favored by 10.5 points, with an over/under set at 213.5 points. Prior to making any predictions, bettors are advised to consult the SportsLine Projection Model, which has generated over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past eight-plus seasons.

Highlights from the SportsLine model include:

  • The model predicts the Under on the total (213.5) based on recent trends.
  • The Under has hit in five of the last ten Phoenix games and 27 of the last 44 home games.
  • The Thunder allow the second-fewest points in the NBA this season at 107.9.

Projected leading scorers are Shai Gilgeous-Alexander for the Thunder with 30.3 points and Devin Booker for the Suns with 23.6 points. The model suggests the teams will combine for 213 total points, making the Under a strong consideration for bettors.

For those looking to make informed bets on the Thunder vs. Suns matchup, the SportsLine model indicates one side of the spread hits over 50% of the time.

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