The San Antonio Spurs (62-20) look to take a commanding 3-1 lead against the Minnesota Timberwolves (49-33) in Game 4 of their NBA playoff series on Sunday at 7:30 p.m. ET from the Target Center in Minneapolis. After dropping Game 1, the Spurs have bounced back, winning the last two games, including a 115-108 victory on Friday.

The Timberwolves are under pressure to avoid a third consecutive playoff defeat, a streak they haven't faced since 2024. In the regular season, Minnesota won two of their three matchups against San Antonio, making this playoff series even more intriguing.

Betting Odds

• Spurs: -4.5 point favorite (FanDuel)
• Over/Under: 218.5 points
• Money Line: Spurs -190, Timberwolves +158

Before placing any bets, it's essential to consider the insights from the SportsLine Projection Model, which has successfully simulated the matchup 10,000 times. The model has demonstrated a remarkable 74% success rate on top-rated NBA spread picks this season, returning over $10,000 in profit for $100 players.

Key Predictions

• The model projects the total to go Under 218.5 points, reflecting both teams' defensive strengths, with the Spurs ranking third in defensive efficiency and the Timberwolves eighth.
• The absence of Donte DiVincenzo has significantly impacted Minnesota's scoring, averaging only 106 points in their last five games compared to 118 during the regular season.
• The Under has hit 61.6% of the time, making it a solid choice for bettors focusing on NBA parlays.

For those looking to make informed betting decisions, the model indicates that one side of the spread has a high likelihood of success, further emphasizing the importance of checking out the detailed picks at SportsLine.