The Western Conference Finals between the Oklahoma City Thunder and the San Antonio Spurs has intensified as the series stands tied at 2-2. With each team claiming a victory on the road, all eyes are on Game 5, set for Tuesday night at 8:30 p.m. ET in Paycom Center, Oklahoma City.

Injury updates loom large for the Thunder, as Jalen Williams (hamstring) is questionable for the game after missing the previous two matches, while Ajay Mitchell (calf) remains sidelined.

According to FanDuel Sportsbook, the Thunder are favored by 4.5 points with an over/under set at 216.5 points. Prior to placing any bets, it's crucial to consider insights from the SportsLine Projection Model, which has demonstrated a strong track record in NBA betting, returning over $10,000 in profit for $100 players over the last eight seasons.

Key betting lines include:

• Spread: Thunder -4.5
• Money Line: Thunder -179, Spurs +160

The model has simulated the matchup 10,000 times, revealing that the Under (216.5) is a solid bet. Despite the Over hitting in the first three games, Game 4 saw a total of just 185 points, indicating a shift in scoring trends.

Player projections show:

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander leading the Thunder with 25.7 points.
• Victor Wembanyama expected to top the Spurs with 29.2 points.

The model suggests that the Under hits in 61% of simulations, making it a compelling option for NBA parlay betting. For more detailed picks and predictions, visit SportsLine to explore the model's insights.