Victor Wembanyama propelled the San Antonio Spurs to an exhilarating double-overtime victory against the Oklahoma City Thunder in Game 1 of the 2026 NBA Western Conference Finals. As the series shifts to Game 2, the Thunder, led by NBA MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, must rebound quickly to avoid falling into a daunting 2-0 deficit.

The Thunder entered the playoffs as the top seed, having swept both the Phoenix Suns and the Los Angeles Lakers in earlier rounds. However, they face a tough challenge with De'Aaron Fox sidelined due to an ankle injury, leaving his status for Game 2 uncertain.

• Tipoff: 8:30 p.m. ET at Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, Okla.
• Current Odds: Thunder favored by 6.5 points, with an over/under of 216.5 points.
• Player Props: Wembanyama's point total set at 24.5; Gilgeous-Alexander at 28.5.

The SportsLine Projection Model, known for its accuracy, has simulated the matchup 10,000 times and has shown a strong performance, generating over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the last eight seasons. The model currently predicts the total points will go Under 216.5, reflecting a trend from their previous meetings.

Key predictions from the model include:

• Wembanyama projected to score 25.5 points, leading the Spurs.
• Gilgeous-Alexander expected to score 29.2 points, but only three Thunder players forecasted to reach 13 points or more.
• Overall, a combined total of 210 points projected, with the Under hitting in 62% of simulations.

For those interested in betting, the model identifies one side of the spread as better value. Check SportsLine for detailed picks and insights.