The Minnesota Timberwolves, seeded sixth, are poised to take a commanding 3-1 lead in their 2026 NBA playoffs series against the third-seeded Denver Nuggets in Game 4 on Saturday. After securing a decisive victory on Thursday with a score of 113-96, the Timberwolves look to continue their momentum. Ayo Dosunmu shone in Game 3, scoring 24 points, while Nikola Jokic led the Nuggets with 27 points.

Anthony Edwards exited Game 3 in the fourth quarter for undisclosed reasons but is not on the injury report for Game 4, although he remains day-to-day. Aaron Gordon is questionable for the Nuggets due to a calf injury.

Tipoff is set for 8:30 p.m. ET at Target Center in Minnesota. The Nuggets are currently favored by 1.5 points according to the latest odds from FanDuel Sportsbook, with an over/under of 229.5 points.

Before placing any bets, it's essential to consider the predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model, which has simulated this matchup 10,000 times and has returned over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on top-rated picks over the past eight seasons. Entering the playoffs, the model boasts a 73% success rate on top-rated NBA spread picks this season.

Key betting lines include:

• Spread: Nuggets -1.5
• Over/Under: 229.5 points
• Money Line: Nuggets -121, Timberwolves +101

The model predicts a total score of 223 points, suggesting the game will likely go Under the total of 229.5. Additionally, it projects Jokic to lead the Nuggets with 26.4 points and Edwards to top the Timberwolves with 28.7 points.

For those interested in betting strategies, the model indicates that one side of the spread has a 60% hit rate. Check SportsLine for detailed picks and betting insights ahead of this pivotal playoff matchup.