Game 3 of the Nuggets vs. Timberwolves series in the 2026 NBA playoffs is poised for an exciting clash on Thursday, April 23. Following a surprising loss at home, the Nuggets find themselves in a tightly contested series, now tied at 1-1. The Timberwolves, having evened the score, are eager to take a commanding 3-1 lead with their next two games on home court.

Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30 p.m. ET at the Target Center in Minneapolis. According to FanDuel Sportsbook, the Nuggets remain the favorites at -210, with the latest odds showing Denver as a 2.5-point favorite and an over/under set at 234.5 total points.

Key player updates include Aaron Gordon, listed as probable for the Nuggets, while Anthony Edwards is questionable for the Timberwolves. Before placing bets on the Nuggets vs. Timberwolves matchup, it's essential to consider insights from the SportsLine Projection Model, which has proven its worth by generating over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players over the past eight-plus seasons.

The model has simulated the game 10,000 times, revealing that it predicts the total points will go Under 234.5. Historical data supports this, as the total has gone Under in seven of the Timberwolves' last ten home games.

Key projections include:

• Nikola Jokic expected to lead the Nuggets with 27.2 points.
• Anthony Edwards projected to score 29.1 points for the Timberwolves.
• A projected combined total of 225 points, favoring the Under with a 66.2% probability.

To see which side of the spread hits well over 50%, check out the full analysis and predictions at SportsLine.