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Celtics vs. 76ers odds, prediction, time: 2026 NBA playoff picks, Game 6 best bets by proven model

Celtics Aim to Close Out 76ers in Game 6 After Embiid's Game 5 Heroics

CBS Sports•
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AI Summary

Joel Embiid and the Philadelphia 76ers managed to stave off elimination with a convincing 119-97 victory against the Boston Celtics in Game 5, despite entering the game as 10.5-point underdogs. The Celtics, led by Jayson Tatum, still hold the series lead at 3-2 and will attempt to clinch the series in Game 6 at Xfinity Mobile Arena on Thursday.

Boston demonstrated strength on the road, winning both Games 3 and 4 in Philadelphia, and holds a better overall record away from home this season (28-15) compared to the 76ers’ home record (23-20). Tip-off for Game 6 is set for 8 p.m. ET.

Currently, the Celtics are favored by 6.5 points according to FanDuel Sportsbook, with the over/under for total points set at 212.5. Before placing bets, it's crucial to consider the insights from the SportsLine Projection Model, which has successfully simulated this matchup 10,000 times. Over the past eight seasons, the model has generated over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks.

Key betting lines include:

  • Celtics vs. 76ers spread: Celtics -6.5
  • Over/Under: 212.5 points
  • Money Line: Celtics -238, 76ers +196

The model predicts that the total points will go Over the set line of 212.5. Although the Under has been successful in four of the five games in this series, the model suggests that this total is relatively low, considering the teams averaged 229.6 ppg during the season.

Projected standout performances include Jaylen Brown averaging 27 ppg and Tatum with 26.1 ppg. For the 76ers, both Embiid and Tyrese Maxey are expected to average 25.5 ppg. The simulations project a combined score of 214 points, indicating a 51.6% likelihood of hitting the Over, making it a compelling option for parlay betting.

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