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ImportantYankees vs. Rays odds, line, prediction: 2026 MLB ALDS Game 3 picks for Wednesday, Oct. 7 from proven model

Rays Aim for Sweep as Yankees Fight Back in ALDS Game 3 Showdown

CBS Sports•
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Summary

The Tampa Bay Rays are on the verge of a sweep against the New York Yankees as they prepare for Game 3 of the American League Division Series on Wednesday night. The Rays have showcased strong performances, winning the first two games at Tropicana Field: a 1-0 shutout led by Drew Rasmussen in Game 1 and a 5-2 victory in Game 2 with Freddy Peralta on the mound, establishing a 2-0 series lead.

For this crucial matchup, the Rays are expected to start Nick Martinez (15-6, 3.10 ERA), while the Yankees will counter with Max Fried (5-5, 2.80 ERA). The first pitch is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET at Yankee Stadium in New York.

Betting Odds

  • Money line: Yankees -164, Rays +140
  • Over/Under: 7 runs
  • Run line: Yankees -1.5 (+140)

Before placing any bets, it’s advisable to review the predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model, which has a solid track record in the playoffs.

Model Insights

  • The model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times and has achieved a 31-25 record on top-rated money-line picks, yielding over $900 for $100 players.
  • After analyzing the matchup, the model predicts the total runs will exceed 7, as the Over has hit in three of the last four games for the Yankees.
  • Key player projections include:
    • Yandy Diaz and Junior Caminero for the Rays, expected to achieve 1.5 total bases each.
    • Ben Rice and Luis Garcia for the Yankees, also projected for 1.5 total bases each.

With the stakes high and the momentum on their side, the Rays look to close out the series, while the Yankees aim to keep their playoff hopes alive.

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