The Oklahoma City Thunder leveled their 2026 NBA playoff series against the San Antonio Spurs with a decisive Game 2 victory at home. Now, Victor Wembanyama and the Spurs return to Texas with momentum, aiming to capitalize on their home advantage in this best-of-seven Western Conference finals.

Tipoff at the Frost Bank Center in San Antonio is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET. The Spurs currently hold a 1.5-point favorite status according to the latest odds from FanDuel Sportsbook, with an over/under set at 218.5 points.

Before placing any bets on the Spurs vs. Thunder matchup, it’s essential to consider the insights from the SportsLine Projection Model, which has a proven track record of profitability in NBA betting. With over $10,000 in profit returned for $100 players over the last eight seasons, the model has been especially hot this postseason, boasting a 72% success rate on top-rated NBA spread picks.

In its latest simulations of the Thunder vs. Spurs game, the model predicts the total points will exceed 218.5. This aligns with recent trends, as twelve of the past fourteen Thunder games have gone over, and the Spurs have hit the over in seven consecutive contests.

Key player projections include:

• Wembanyama: 27.2 points
• Stephon Castle: 17.9 points
• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 30.2 points
• Chet Holmgren: 16.7 points

The combined total points are projected at 219, affirming the model's confidence in hitting the over in 53% of simulations, making it a compelling option for parlay betting enthusiasts. For those interested in the spread and total, further insights are available through SportsLine's predictions.