Manchester United is increasingly resigned to losing JJ Gabriel, with Fabrizio Romano estimating the teenager's chances of leaving Old Trafford at approximately 95%.

Despite ongoing efforts to mend the relationship with the 16-year-old and his family, a transfer to Spain appears more likely.

Key points include:

• Real Madrid and Barcelona are actively pursuing Gabriel.
• Interest from Paris Saint-Germain and Bayern Munich has waned.
• Complications arise from FIFA rules regarding international transfers for minors, particularly concerning Gabriel's eligibility before turning 18.

Speaking on his YouTube channel, Romano stated, "Man United are at serious risk of losing one of the most interesting talents around... I would say 5% for United to keep him, and 95% for JJ Gabriel to go. Probably to La Liga."

This situation has evolved from mere speculation to a pressing concern for United, which has reportedly offered Gabriel a scholarship deal. However, they could receive only about £350,000 in compensation if he joins a European club.

While a move abroad is not guaranteed due to FIFA regulations, if Gabriel clears these hurdles, Manchester United risks losing a top academy talent to either Real Madrid or Barcelona for minimal compensation. This would be a significant setback, especially after months of efforts to secure his future at Old Trafford.