A pivotal matchup unfolds on Tuesday, July 28, as Philadelphia Phillies face off against Miami Marlins in a crucial NL East battle. This game marks the second of a three-game series, with the Marlins (53-54) finally snapping a 12-game losing streak with an 8-7 walk-off victory on Monday. Meanwhile, the Phillies (57-50) struggle post-All-Star break, recording a disappointing 3-7 record, including five losses in their last six games.

Pitching Matchup:

• Aaron Nola (3-8, 5.82 ERA) takes the mound for the Phillies.
• Sandy Alcantara, the 2022 NL Cy Young winner, counters for the Marlins with a 10-6 record and a 4.01 ERA.

First pitch is slated for 6:40 p.m. ET at loanDepot park in Miami. The Phillies hold a slight edge in their season series against the Marlins, going 5-3 thus far. Betting odds favor the Marlins at -114 on the money line, while the Phillies sit at -105. The over/under for total runs is set at 8.

Before placing any bets, it's crucial to consider insights from SportsLine's proven computer model, which has successfully simulated every MLB game 10,000 times. The model is currently on a 39-23 run with top-rated MLB picks, demonstrating strong performance with home run prop bets in 2025, yielding nearly 30 units of profit.

Key Predictions:

• The model predicts the total runs to exceed 8, based on historical performance.
• Notably, the last three meetings between these teams have averaged 13.7 total runs.
• The Over has hit in 59% of Alcantara's starts and 57% of Nola's starts, indicating a potential high-scoring affair.

Overall, the model forecasts a combined total of 9.7 runs for the matchup. For those looking to make informed bets, SportsLine offers detailed insights and money-line selections for this exciting game.