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NFL Week 1 picks, odds, best bets: Aaron Rodgers beats Falcons, Broncos upset Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs

NFL Week 1 Predictions: Upsets and Key Matchups to Watch

CBS Sports•
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Summary

As the 2026 NFL season kicks off, analysts are gearing up for an exciting Week 1 filled with potential surprises and strong predictions. With a compelling betting landscape, this week promises to challenge preconceived notions and test the skills of seasoned bettors.

Key Matchups and Predictions:

  • Atlanta Falcons at Pittsburgh Steelers (-5.5)
    The Falcons, struggling with quarterback issues, face a formidable Steelers team. Despite the Falcons’ offensive weapons like Bijan Robinson and Kyle Pitts, the Steelers are favored to win, with a projected score of Steelers 20-13.

  • Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings (-1.5)
    The Vikings look to capitalize on the Packers' offseason woes. With Kyler Murray at quarterback, the Vikings are expected to edge out the Packers in a close game, predicted to end Vikings 22-16.

  • Miami Dolphins at Las Vegas Raiders (-3)
    The Raiders, with Kirk Cousins leading the charge, are viewed as the more improved team. The Dolphins face skepticism, making the Raiders the pick to win with a projected score of Raiders 23-17.

  • Dallas Cowboys (-3) at New York Giants
    The Cowboys have a strong historical advantage against the Giants, particularly in Week 1. With a powerful offense led by Dak Prescott, the Cowboys are predicted to win Cowboys 28-23.

  • Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs (-2.5)
    In a surprising twist, the Broncos are favored to upset the Chiefs in Arrowhead. With a strong defensive performance last season, the Broncos are projected to win Broncos 17-14.

As the season begins, these games will set the tone for what promises to be an unpredictable and thrilling NFL campaign.

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