Survivor pool participants face a challenging Week 4 in the 2026 NFL season after a tumultuous Week 3, which saw teams like the Texans, Seahawks, Rams, and Saints fall short. With tough matchups ahead, including:

• Packers vs. Buccaneers (+4)
• Cardinals vs. Giants (+1.5)
• Cowboys vs. Texans (-2.5)
• Jaguars vs. Bengals (-2.5)
• Rams vs. Eagles (+3)
• Patriots vs. Bills (-6.5)
• Broncos vs. 49ers (-2.5)
• Chiefs vs. Raiders (+4.5)
• Falcons vs. Saints (-2.5) on 'Monday Night Football'.

The largest spread for Week 4 is Titans vs. Ravens (-11.5), but the Tennessee Titans have kept their games close lately. The Dolphins vs. Vikings (-10.5) and Chargers vs. Seahawks (-7) are also on the radar for survivor players.

The SportsLine Projection Model, which has successfully simulated NFL games 10,000 times and has earned over $7,000 for $100 players, is cautious about the Green Bay Packers this week. Despite being 4-point favorites against the Buccaneers, the Packers have struggled offensively, with Jordan Love facing significant pressure—25 times in total, leading to a lackluster performance.

The Buccaneers will start undrafted rookie Jalon Daniels due to Baker Mayfield's thumb injury. This could shift their strategy towards a stronger ground game, especially after Bijon Robinson's success against the Packers last week. The model predicts a close contest, projecting a 1-point game, thus making Green Bay a risky survivor pick with only a 54% chance of winning.

For a more reliable option, the model strongly endorses a different team, which has shown an 80% success rate in simulations. Details on this pick can be found exclusively at SportsLine.