NBA over/under predictions for every Western Conference team: Lakers undervalued, Warriors in for a long year

Western Conference Win Predictions: Lakers Set to Shine While Warriors Face Struggles

CBS Sports•
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Summary

The NBA's Western Conference is gearing up for another competitive season, but the landscape is shifting. Unlike the 2007-08 season where all teams won at least 50 games, this year presents a tougher reality with only a few elite teams at the top.

Key Predictions:

  • Dallas Mavericks (2025-26: 26-56, 2026-27: 34.5): Under. Uncertainty surrounds Kyrie Irving’s future, which could lead to a significant drop in wins.

  • Denver Nuggets (2025-26: 54-28, 2026-27: 49.5): Over. With Aaron Gordon healthy, the Nuggets maintain a solid chance to win over 50 games.

  • Golden State Warriors (2025-26: 37-45, 2026-27: 37.5): Under. Concerns over Stephen Curry’s health and team depth lead to a pessimistic outlook.

  • Houston Rockets (2025-26: 52-30, 2026-27: 48.5): Over. The return of Steven Adams and Fred VanVleet could propel the Rockets past last year's performance.

  • Los Angeles Lakers (2025-26: 53-29, 2026-27: 46.5): Over. The dynamic duo of Luka Dončić and Austin Reaves promises high offensive output, making a 50-win season likely.

  • Los Angeles Clippers (2025-26: 42-40, 2026-27: 28.5): Under. Injuries and potential trades could hinder their season.

  • Memphis Grizzlies (2025-26: 25-57, 2026-27: 29.5): Over. Rookie Cameron Boozer and a revamped lineup suggest improvement.

  • Minnesota Timberwolves (2025-26: 49-33, 2026-27: 48.5): Over. The combination of LaMelo Ball and Anthony Edwards could elevate this team.

  • New Orleans Pelicans (2025-26: 26-56, 2026-27: 28.5): Under. Overlapping skill sets may derail their potential.

  • Oklahoma City Thunder (2025-26: 64-18, 2026-27: 62.5): Under. A strong team, but regression is expected.

  • Phoenix Suns (2025-26: 45-37, 2026-27: 40.5): Under. Difficulty maintaining last season's success suggests a decline.

  • Portland Trail Blazers (2025-26: 42-40, 2026-27: 41.5): Over. A solid team with Damian Lillard driving success.

  • Sacramento Kings (2025-26: 22-60, 2026-27: 21.5): Under. Projected to be the league's worst team again.

  • San Antonio Spurs (2025-26: 62-20, 2026-27: 59.5): Over. With Victor Wembanyama, they aim for a dominant season.

  • Utah Jazz (2025-26: 22-60, 2026-27: 37.5): Over. New acquisitions and development signal a brighter future.

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