As NFL training camps open, CBS Sports HQ heads to Henderson, Nev., to analyze the revamped Las Vegas Raiders. The team introduces Fernando Mendoza, the 2025 Heisman winner, as their new starting quarterback alongside rookie head coach Klint Kubiak. Both are coming off championship seasons, making them the first QB-coach duo in NFL history to do so.

Key Points:

• Mendoza's Background: At Indiana, Mendoza led the Hoosiers to an impressive average of 41.6 points per game, ranking third in FBS.
• Kubiak's Credentials: As the offensive coordinator for the Seattle Seahawks, Kubiak helped the team average 28.4 points per game, also third-best in the NFL.
• Scoring Challenges: The Raiders struggled last season, finishing last in the league with just 14.2 points per game.

The Raiders' season opener against Miami features Las Vegas opening as -3.5 favorites. Despite speculation around veteran Kirk Cousins starting, Kubiak confirms him as the No. 1 quarterback, while emphasizing that both Mendoza and Aidan O'Connell will push for the position.

Mendoza, who just signed his rookie contract, is a strong contender for the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year with odds of +425. His projected season totals of 2,399.5 yards and 12.5 touchdowns are among the lowest for a first overall pick.

Historically, rookie quarterbacks drafted first overall have struggled, with the last to win more than six games being Baker Mayfield in 2018. The Raiders have a win total set between 5.5 and 6.5, with a recommendation to lean Under 6.5, considering that recent first overall picks have failed to reach that mark.

Despite the challenging outlook, there’s optimism for Mendoza’s yardage and touchdown totals, especially with talent like tailback Ashton Jeanty and tight end Brock Bowers supporting him. The SportsLine Projection Model forecasts the Raiders at 4.7 wins, reinforcing the expectation to bet on the Under.