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Cardinals vs. Mets line, odds, prediction, time: 2026 MLB picks for Thursday, June 11 from proven model

Cardinals Aim for Sweep Against Struggling Mets in Thrilling Series Finale

CBS Sports•
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AI Summary

The St. Louis Cardinals (37-28) are on the verge of completing a three-game sweep as they face off against the New York Mets (29-38) for the series finale on Thursday, June 11 at Citi Field. After dominating the first two games with a 7-0 shutout on June 9 and a 9-2 victory on Wednesday, the Cardinals have now won six consecutive games.

Hunter Dobbins (1-0, 2.77 ERA) will take the mound for St. Louis, while Christian Scott (2-0, 2.50 ERA) aims to prevent the sweep for New York. Historically, the Cardinals have been strong against the Mets, winning six of their last seven matchups.

Game Details:

  • First Pitch: 1:10 p.m. ET
  • Money Line: Mets -151 (risk $151 to win $100)
  • Over/Under: 9 runs

The SportsLine Projection Model, which has been on a hot streak with a 19-7 record on top-rated MLB picks, has simulated this game 10,000 times. The model predicts that the total runs will go Over 9, aligning with recent trends where the total exceeded this mark in three of the last five games for the Cardinals and two of the last three for the Mets.

Key Player Projections:

  • Cardinals:
    • Alec Burleson: projected at 2.09 total bases
  • Mets:
    • Jared Young: projected at over 1.76 total bases

With the teams combining for an average of 10.1 runs, the model indicates that the Over hits 58% of the time. For those interested in betting, you can find the money-line pick at SportsLine.

As the Cardinals aim for their seventh straight win, all eyes will be on Citi Field for what promises to be an exciting conclusion to this series.

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