The Milwaukee Brewers are poised to clinch their National League Division Series against the San Diego Padres in Game 3 on Tuesday, October 6. After a dramatic 4-3 comeback victory in Game 2, the Brewers lead the series 2-0.

Milwaukee, finishing the regular season with a record of 103-59 and winning the NL Central, boasts a solid 48-33 record on the road. In contrast, the San Diego Padres, who ended the season at 91-71 and placed second in the NL West, have excelled at home with a 51-30 record.

Matchup Details:

• Pitchers:
  • Brewers: Dustin May (7-9, 4.70 ERA)
  • Padres: Nick Pivetta (3-2, 2.86 ERA)

Game Information:

• Location: Petco Park, San Diego
• First Pitch: 9:30 p.m. ET

Betting Odds:

• Money Line:
  • Padres -129 (risk $129 to win $100)
  • Brewers +116
• Over/Under: 7 runs
• Run Line: Padres -1.5 (+165)

SportsLine's model, which simulates every MLB game 10,000 times, has been successful with a 31-25 record on top-rated MLB money-line picks, yielding over $900 for $100 players.

Key Predictions:

• The model predicts the game will go Over 7 runs, supported by recent trends:
  • Over is 6-4 in May's last 10 starts.
  • Over is 5-3-1 in Pivetta's starts.
• Projected total bases include:
  • Brewers: Jackson Chourio, Brice Turang, Cooper Pratt, and Christian Yelich at 1.2+ total bases.
  • Padres: Fernando Tatis Jr., Jackson Merrill, and Manny Machado at 1.3+ total bases.

The model anticipates the teams will combine for 8.6 total runs, indicating a 59% likelihood of the Over hitting. For the best money-line pick, SportsLine’s insights are essential for bettors looking to capitalize on this matchup.