Optimism surrounds the New Orleans Saints as they prepare for the 2026 NFL season, despite finishing last season at 6-11. The team's late-season surge included a four-game winning streak, largely attributed to second-year quarterback Tyler Shough, who posted a 5-4 record as a starter. Shough’s performance earned him a runner-up position in the Offensive Rookie of the Year race, and the Saints bolstered their offense by adding free-agent running back Travis Etienne and top draft pick Jordyn Tyson.

New Orleans Saints 2026 Odds

• Over win total: 7.5 (-115)
• Under win total: 7.5 (-105)
• Make playoffs: +180
• Win NFC South: +265
• Win Super Bowl: +8000

The market has shown increased confidence in the Saints, favoring them to exceed 7.5 wins, although they remain second in division title odds behind the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

Recent Trends

• 2025: +3000, 4.5 wins (actual: 6)
• 2024: +1000, 7.5 wins (actual: 5)
• 2023: +3500, 9.5 wins (actual: 9)

Despite some progress last season, the Saints had their worst scoring offense since 2005, finishing 28th in points per game. Their defense ranked well, allowing the fourth-fewest passing yards but struggled in key situations.

Offseason Changes

• Lost: QB Zach Wilson
• Added: RB Travis Etienne, WR Dante Pettis, and drafted Jordyn Tyson (1st round)

While the offense sees significant additions, the defense must cope with the departure of veteran leaders like Demario Davis. Cameron Jordan's future also hangs in the balance.

2026 Schedule Highlights

• Week 1: @DET
• Week 2: @BAL
• Week 6: @NYG
• Week 15: @TB

The Saints face challenges early, with tough road games against the Lions and Ravens. The second half includes a grueling stretch of four road games in five weeks.

Betting Recommendation

Consider betting Under 7.5 wins (-105). Shough's victories came against teams with losing records, raising concerns about the Saints' ability to compete against tougher opponents while coping with the loss of experienced leaders on defense. Overall, the optimism surrounding the team may be excessive for the upcoming season.