The Las Vegas Raiders have struggled since their last division title in 2002, but after a dismal 2024 season with just four wins and a disappointing 2025, they are looking to turn things around. The team earned the No. 1 pick in the draft, allowing them to select quarterback Fernando Mendoza, who recently led Indiana to a national championship. Alongside him is new head coach Klint Kubiak, who comes off a Super Bowl victory with the Seattle Seahawks.

Despite these changes, the Raiders are projected to finish last in the AFC West once again. Current betting odds reflect the skepticism:

• Win Total: 5.5
• Miss Playoffs: -900
• Make Playoffs: +600
• Win AFC West: +2000
• Win Super Bowl: +15000

The shift in market sentiment has seen the win total move from a heavily juiced Under in February to a more optimistic Over by summer. The team's performance in the last few seasons has been concerning, with a notable decline in offensive efficiency, leading to the worst offense in yards per rush and a low passing attack ranking.

Key offseason additions include:

• Quarterback: Fernando Mendoza, Kirk Cousins
• Linebackers: Nakobe Dean, Quay Walker
• Offensive Line: Tyler Linderbaum

As the Raiders prepare for the 2026 season, they face a challenging schedule, starting with a home game against the Miami Dolphins. The potential absence of Patrick Mahomes in their early meetings could provide a rare advantage. However, the team's path to success remains uncertain, with many experts predicting they will struggle.

In terms of betting strategy, the recommended pick is Under 5.5 wins (+120) as the franchise continues its rebuild.