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Betting the Chiefs in 2026: See how Kansas City's win total, Super Bowl odds are trending and our best bets

Kansas City Chiefs: Betting Insights for 2026 Amid Mahomes' Recovery Challenges

CBS Sports•
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AI Summary

The Kansas City Chiefs enter the 2026 season with a tumultuous backdrop, following a disastrous 2025 where they finished 6-11 and saw star quarterback Patrick Mahomes suffer an ACL tear. The franchise, which once thrived under Andy Reid, faces significant challenges as Mahomes races against the clock to return for Week 1. The defense must also adjust after the loss of key cornerbacks.

Current Betting Odds

  • Win Total: 10.5
    • Over: +115
    • Under: -140
  • Make Playoffs: -210
  • Win AFC West: +160
  • Win AFC: +740
  • Win Super Bowl: +1500

Despite positive reports on Mahomes' recovery, the odds reflect a shift in public sentiment, with the Under gaining traction since February. The Chiefs remain favorites in the AFC West, but trail behind the Ravens and Bills in conference rankings.

Recent Trends

The Chiefs have experienced fluctuating odds over the years:

  • 2025: +800, 11.5 wins, finished 3rd in AFC West
  • 2024: +500, 11.5 wins, lost in Super Bowl
  • 2023: +600, 11.5 wins, won Super Bowl

Offseason Changes

The Chiefs have made key acquisitions, including:

  • QB: Gardner Minshew, Justin Fields
  • RB: Kareem Hunt, Kenneth Walker
  • WR: Marquise Brown, JuJu Smith-Schuster

2026 Schedule Highlights

  • Week 1: vs. Denver Broncos (Monday Night)
  • Week 6: vs. Los Angeles Chargers
  • Week 12: vs. Buffalo Bills (Thursday Night)

The Chiefs' schedule includes tough matchups, particularly against the Bengals and Bills, but they also benefit from facing teams with quarterback uncertainties.

Betting Recommendations

  • Win AFC: +750
  • Win Super Bowl: +1600

While there are concerns about Mahomes' readiness, the Chiefs remain a formidable playoff contender. Betting on their postseason success could yield significant returns, considering their track record of playoff performance.

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