64 teams, six host countries: What could the 2030 World Cup look like?

Exploring the Prospects of a 64-Team World Cup in 2030

The Independent Sport
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FIFA President Gianni Infantino has sparked discussions about expanding the World Cup to 64 teams for the 2030 edition, following the success of the recent 48-team tournament. While FIFA Vice-President Alejandro Dominguez supports this idea, many, including UEFA President Aleksander Ceferin, have voiced strong opposition, labeling it a “bad idea.”

This potential expansion would double the number of participating nations within just two tournaments and eight years, a significant shift from the traditional 32-team format established since 1998. If approved, the 2030 World Cup would be co-hosted by Spain, Portugal, and Morocco, with matches also taking place in Uruguay, Paraguay, and Argentina to celebrate the tournament's centenary.

Key Considerations for Expansion:

  • Qualifying Structure: Major reforms would be necessary to allocate extra spots among confederations. For instance:

    • CAF, AFC, and Concacaf previously doubled their representation.
    • UEFA's share might increase to around 20 spots despite being the most represented.
    • Oceania could receive an automatic berth, while Conmebol's allocation remains limited.
  • Logistical Challenges: Hosting across six nations introduces complexities, including vast travel distances and varying climates, which could impact player performance.

  • Tournament Format: A 64-team format would likely mean more groups but could eliminate third-place qualifiers. This would increase the total matches from 104 to 128, potentially extending the tournament duration.

Likelihood of Expansion:

Despite the financial allure of a larger tournament, Infantino faces significant backlash and calls for resignation, casting doubt on the feasibility of implementing such changes for 2030. While Conmebol has proposed this expansion, concerns from other football leaders suggest that the FIFA Council may not support the move in the immediate future. The decision remains uncertain as the football community grapples with the implications of such expansion.

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