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2026 NASCAR All-Star Race predictions, odds, time: NASCAR at Dover picks, best bets by advanced model

Predictions Heat Up for 2026 NASCAR All-Star Race at Dover Motor Speedway

CBS Sports•
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AI Summary

The 2026 NASCAR All-Star Race is set for Sunday at 1 p.m. ET at Dover Motor Speedway, marking its first hosting of this exhibition event. Christopher Bell, the defending champion, faces tough competition from Kyle Larson, who has claimed victory three times since 2019. Both Denny Hamlin and Kyle Busch also boast three wins at Dover, complicating predictions for the race.

The event will feature a full field of 36 drivers in the initial two stages, narrowing down to 26 drivers for the 200-lap final stage.

Denny Hamlin stands as the +380 favorite, with Kyle Larson close behind at +470. The top five contenders in the odds include:

  • Chase Elliott (+850)
  • Ryan Blaney (+900)
  • Christopher Bell (+900)
  • Tyler Reddick (+1000), who has yet to finish in the top 5 in seven starts at Dover.

Mike McClure, a renowned DFS expert with over $2 million in winnings, utilizes a powerful prediction model that simulates each race lap 10,000 times. His model has successfully identified 29 winners since 2021 and 11 winners in 2025. For the All-Star Race, McClure suggests fading Denny Hamlin, noting his struggles in recent years despite his past victory in 2015.

In a surprising twist, Joey Logano (+4000) is projected to contend strongly, leveraging his experience as a two-time All-Star winner and three-time Cup Series champion. Logano has secured five top 10 finishes in his last ten Dover starts and has a strong track record with Team Penske.

McClure also highlights two longshots at odds of at least +4000, including a massive longshot at +6000, offering potential for significant returns. For the latest insights and predictions, fans are encouraged to visit SportsLine for expert betting picks.

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