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2026 NASCAR All-Star Race predictions, odds, start time: NASCAR at Dover picks, best bets by advanced model

Predictions Heat Up for 2026 NASCAR All-Star Race at Dover Motor Speedway

CBS Sports•
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AI Summary

The 2026 NASCAR All-Star Race is set for Sunday at 1 p.m. ET, marking its inaugural event at Dover Motor Speedway. Christopher Bell, the defending champion, faces stiff competition from Kyle Larson, a three-time winner since 2019, alongside seasoned drivers Denny Hamlin and Kyle Busch, both boasting three wins at Dover. The race will feature a full lineup of 36 drivers in the initial stages, narrowing to 26 for the 200-lap final stage.

Denny Hamlin emerges as the +380 favorite, closely followed by Kyle Larson at +470. The top five odds include:

  • Chase Elliott: +850
  • Ryan Blaney: +900
  • Christopher Bell: +900
  • Tyler Reddick: +1000, despite lacking top 5 finishes in his seven Dover starts.

Hamlin will start from the pole position for the second time this season. Expert Mike McClure has analyzed the race using a proven model that simulates every lap 10,000 times. His model has successfully predicted 29 winners since 2021 and 11 winners in 2025.

For the 2026 NASCAR All-Star Race, McClure is cautious about Denny Hamlin, predicting he will struggle to finish in the top 5. Despite his past victory in 2015, Hamlin has not led a lap in his last seven All-Star appearances, with more finishes outside the top five.

A surprising contender is Joey Logano at +4000. The two-time All-Star winner and three-time Cup Series champion has shown consistent performance at Dover, with five top 10 finishes in his last ten starts and a strong average finish for Team Penske.

Additionally, McClure highlights two longshots at odds of at least +4000, including a potential massive underdog at +6000. For the latest insights and bets, NASCAR enthusiasts should check out SportsLine for the comprehensive predictions and best bets.

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