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2026 FireKeepers Casino 400 predictions, odds, time: NASCAR at Michigan picks, best bets from advanced model

Denny Hamlin Faces Tough Competition in 2026 FireKeepers Casino 400 Predictions

CBS Sports•
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AI Summary

The NASCAR Cup Series prepares for the highly anticipated 2026 FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan International Speedway on Sunday at 3 p.m. ET. Denny Hamlin, fresh off his victory in Nashville, enters the race as the favorite at +380, having also won at Michigan last year. However, Tyler Reddick, who currently leads the Cup Series standings, poses a significant challenge as a previous winner at this track, making him a key contender alongside Christopher Bell at +600.

Kyle Larson, a three-time winner at Michigan, stands at +800. Before finalizing any NASCAR predictions or DFS lineups, it's essential to consider insights from Mike McClure, a renowned professional DFS player with over $2 million in career earnings. McClure's model has successfully predicted 29 winners since 2021, including 11 winners in 2025.

For the 2026 NASCAR at Michigan, McClure suggests fading Hamlin despite his favorite status, predicting he will barely make the top 5. Notably, his win last year marked his first at Michigan since 2011, leading to doubts about his current value.

A surprising pick from the model is Ryan Blaney at +1100, who boasts a win and nine top-10 finishes this season. His successful history at Michigan, including a victory in 2021, positions him as a promising longshot with a solid driver rating.

Additionally, McClure identifies a longshot at around +3500 who could potentially climb to the top of the leaderboard, offering a significant payout for backers. For more insights on who to bet on and additional picks, fans are encouraged to check out SportsLine for McClure's expert analysis.

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