The San Antonio Spurs made a crucial comeback in the 2026 NBA Finals, winning Game 3 against the New York Knicks on Monday, which ended the Knicks' impressive 13-game postseason winning streak. This victory moved the series to 2-1, allowing the Spurs to avoid the historic 0-3 series deficit that has never been overcome in NBA Finals history.

As the series progresses, the Knicks hold a strong 32-15-1 record against the spread (68%) at home this season, while the Spurs are 17-8 ATS (68%) as underdogs.

Game 4 is set for 8:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday at Madison Square Garden in New York City, with the Knicks favored by 2.5 points according to the latest odds from FanDuel Sportsbook. The over/under for total points is set at 216.5.

The SportsLine Projection Model, which has successfully simulated every NBA game 10,000 times, has been on a hot streak, recording a 26-10 run (72%) on its top-rated NBA spread picks this season and generating over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players.

Key betting lines include:

• Spurs vs. Knicks spread: Knicks -2.5 at FanDuel
• Over/under: 216.5 points
• Money line: Knicks -128, Spurs +108

For Game 4, the model predicts the total will go Under 216.5 points, as both teams have trended towards the Under throughout the series and the season. The simulations suggest that only Victor Wembanyama for the Spurs and Jalen Brunson for the Knicks are likely to score over 20 points. The combined score projection sits at 215 points, making the Under a compelling choice for bettors.

To explore more on the spread and game predictions, bettors can check the detailed analysis at SportsLine.