Expert MLB Home Run Picks: Fetner Targets Contreras, Kurtz, and Moniak for Big Hits
As Thursday's MLB schedule unfolds, Jacob Fetner, a SportsLine expert, highlights key home run prop bets for the day. After a successful previous season where he gained 50 units on his picks, Fetner remains optimistic, having already secured 1.6 units this week. Here are the top home run bets he's focusing on: William Contreras, Brewers (+640) Contreras has been consistent against left-handed pitchers, hitting .243 with a .723 OPS over the past year and recording 5 home runs in 213 plate appearances. He boasts a strong .274 average and .815 OPS at home. Facing Patrick Corbin, who has allowed 18 of his 23 home runs to right-handed batters, Contreras is poised for success. The hitter-friendly park further enhances his chances. Nick Kurtz, Athletics (+444) With a .312 average and 1.075 OPS against right-handed pitchers, Kurtz has displayed power, hitting 28 of his 37 home runs against them. He has a favorable matchup against Jack Leiter, who has allowed 7 home runs in his last 8 starts. Kurtz's historical performance against Leiter, including 2 hits and 1 home run in just 3 at-bats, makes him a strong candidate for today. Mickey Moniak, Rockies (+420) Moniak has excelled against right-handed pitchers, hitting .277 with an .870 OPS and 28 of his 29 home runs off RHPs. With JP France's 5.12 ERA at home and a .741 OPS allowed to left-handed batters, the conditions favor Moniak. The home run index stands at 8 out of 10, further supporting his potential to go yard. Fetner believes these three players present excellent opportunities for home run bets on this exciting MLB Thursday.
Source: CBS Sports - 2026-04-16